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CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

149.83%

increased by 63.97%

1 Week

142.66%

increased by 56.80%

1 Month

122.98%

increased by 37.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3154
4.11***
αARCH0.1610
2.60***
βGARCH0.8111
31.14***
γleverage-0.0970
-0.85

0.924

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3154
4.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1610
2.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8111
31.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0970
-0.85

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days