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CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

126.77%

decreased by 11.25%

1 Week

122.03%

decreased by 15.99%

1 Month

109.29%

decreased by 28.73%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 12:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2007 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3164
4.10***
αARCH0.1620
2.61***
βGARCH0.8112
31.34***
γleverage-0.0983
-0.86

0.924

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3164
4.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1620
2.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8112
31.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0983
-0.86

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days