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CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

82.67%

increased by 13.83%

1 Week

83.41%

increased by 14.57%

1 Month

85.17%

increased by 16.33%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4222
4.28***
αARCH0.1671
2.66***
βGARCH0.8033
29.08***
γleverage-0.1000
-0.85

0.920

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4222
4.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1671
2.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8033
29.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1000
-0.85

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days