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V-Lab

Cboe 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Basis Point Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Friday, July 31st, 2026):

1 Day

149.94%

1 Week

139.15%

1 Month

116.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 11:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Cboe 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Basis Point Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2283
21.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7341
48.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2219
-22.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.11
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2036
0.11
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4808
0.10

Persistence:

0.852

Half-life:

4 days