V-Lab: ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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V-Lab

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, November 28th, 2025:22.35% (-1.34%)

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 03:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	46
$α$	0.2416	24.21
$β$	0.7193	61.72
$γ$	-0.1750	-16.56
$λ_{1}$	1.5745	1.54
$λ_{2}$	0.6605	1.25
$λ_{3}$	0.0000	0.00

Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Nov 26, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts

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