ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
29.85%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
32.22%
increased by 1.74%
1 Month
36.32%
increased by 5.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.2366 | 25.50 | |
| 0.7293 | 66.90 | |
| -0.1736 | -17.26 | |
| 1.5841 | 1.53 | |
| 0.6669 | 1.24 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026
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