ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 10th, 2026
1 Day
43.32%
decreased by 3.29%
1 Week
43.96%
decreased by 2.65%
1 Month
46.12%
decreased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 10, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.2423 | 25.42 | |
| 0.7269 | 66.19 | |
| -0.1767 | -17.25 | |
| 1.6239 | 1.57 | |
| 0.6611 | 1.27 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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