ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
50.80%
decreased by 6.12%
1 Week
48.95%
decreased by 7.97%
1 Month
47.79%
decreased by 9.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.2423 | 25.42 | |
| 0.7269 | 66.19 | |
| -0.1767 | -17.25 | |
| 1.6239 | 1.57 | |
| 0.6611 | 1.27 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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