CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.2319	4.32***
αARCH	0.1500	6.75***
βGARCH	0.8110	32.81***
γleverage	-0.4636	-1.65*

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.2319	4.32***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1500	6.75***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8110	32.81***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.4636	-1.65*

V-Lab

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Analyses