ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 16th, 2026:23.88% (-1.21%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2435 | 17.95 | |
| 0.1573 | 26.47 | |
| 0.8020 | 123.35 | |
| -0.4223 | -6.01 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 31, 2025
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 31, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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