ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 20th, 2026
1 Day
68.95%
decreased by 3.91%
1 Week
68.63%
decreased by 4.23%
1 Month
67.81%
decreased by 5.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9133 | 16.42 | |
| 0.0912 | 38.04 | |
| 0.8350 | 214.10 | |
| -2.0558 | -16.77 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
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