ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
72.13%
decreased by 4.83%
1 Week
71.92%
decreased by 5.04%
1 Month
71.60%
decreased by 5.36%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7507 | 7.27 | |
| 0.1108 | 7.13 | |
| 0.7223 | 19.70 | |
| 0.0001 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0316 | 0.56 | |
| -0.0737 | -2.03 | |
| 0.0517 | 1.40 | |
| -0.0027 | -0.07 | |
| -0.0066 | -0.19 | |
| -0.0359 | -0.96 | |
| 0.1186 | 3.18 | |
| -0.1587 | -3.90 | |
| 0.0989 | 3.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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