ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 13th, 2026
1 Day
77.03%
decreased by 5.53%
1 Week
75.38%
decreased by 7.18%
1 Month
72.78%
decreased by 9.78%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7519 | 7.28 | |
| 0.1124 | 7.11 | |
| 0.7182 | 19.22 | |
| -0.0010 | -0.03 | |
| 0.0337 | 0.59 | |
| -0.0752 | -2.05 | |
| 0.0517 | 1.38 | |
| -0.0018 | -0.05 | |
| -0.0066 | -0.18 | |
| -0.0383 | -1.01 | |
| 0.1225 | 3.25 | |
| -0.1616 | -3.91 | |
| 0.1001 | 3.03 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
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