ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 5th, 2026
1 Day
83.10%
increased by 16.29%
1 Week
79.74%
increased by 12.93%
1 Month
74.26%
increased by 7.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 04:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7550 | 7.33 | |
| 0.1120 | 7.14 | |
| 0.7202 | 19.54 | |
| -0.0012 | -0.03 | |
| 0.0343 | 0.61 | |
| -0.0757 | -2.07 | |
| 0.0520 | 1.39 | |
| -0.0020 | -0.05 | |
| -0.0069 | -0.19 | |
| -0.0373 | -0.98 | |
| 0.1214 | 3.23 | |
| -0.1615 | -3.94 | |
| 0.1007 | 3.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 1, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 1, 2026
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