ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
66.27%
decreased by 3.85%
1 Week
67.60%
decreased by 2.52%
1 Month
69.63%
decreased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 12:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7567 | 7.36 | |
| 0.1108 | 7.13 | |
| 0.7220 | 19.69 | |
| 0.0018 | 0.05 | |
| 0.0294 | 0.52 | |
| -0.0730 | -2.03 | |
| 0.0516 | 1.40 | |
| -0.0029 | -0.08 | |
| -0.0068 | -0.19 | |
| -0.0350 | -0.94 | |
| 0.1176 | 3.18 | |
| -0.1589 | -3.95 | |
| 0.0999 | 3.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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