ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 3rd, 2026:63.35% (-3.76%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7560 | 7.66 | |
| 0.1158 | 6.63 | |
| 0.6853 | 15.66 | |
| -0.0056 | -0.15 | |
| 0.0425 | 0.77 | |
| -0.0830 | -2.28 | |
| 0.0598 | 1.59 | |
| -0.0115 | -0.30 | |
| 0.0036 | 0.10 | |
| -0.0482 | -1.28 | |
| 0.1312 | 3.55 | |
| -0.1688 | -4.17 | |
| 0.1054 | 3.32 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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