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V-Lab

FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index 30 Days Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

122.09%

increased by 28.81%

1 Week

116.96%

increased by 23.68%

1 Month

109.11%

increased by 15.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index 30 Days S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2000 to Apr 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8898
14.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1474
6.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6713
15.21***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.0121
2.92***
γ2-0.0225
-3.59***
γ30.0140
4.25***

Persistence:

0.819

Half-life:

3 days