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V-Lab

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026

1 Day

31.07%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

31.84%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

33.65%

increased by 2.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.62744.56
α0.09924.73
β0.819919.62
γ1-0.0384-0.45
γ20.01610.13
γ30.06390.93
γ4-0.0773-1.64
γ50.00930.19
γ60.12062.79
γ7-0.1906-5.16
γ80.13495.05
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026