ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 6th, 2026
1 Day
79.57%
decreased by 6.91%
1 Week
74.55%
decreased by 11.93%
1 Month
60.93%
decreased by 25.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6269 | 4.55 | |
| 0.1014 | 4.61 | |
| 0.8145 | 18.24 | |
| -0.0381 | -0.44 | |
| 0.0143 | 0.11 | |
| 0.0658 | 0.96 | |
| -0.0754 | -1.58 | |
| 0.0009 | 0.02 | |
| 0.1320 | 3.10 | |
| -0.1975 | -5.39 | |
| 0.1362 | 5.09 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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