ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 24th, 2026
1 Day
38.77%
decreased by 1.24%
1 Week
38.21%
decreased by 1.80%
1 Month
36.85%
decreased by 3.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 02:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6269 | 4.55 | |
| 0.1014 | 4.61 | |
| 0.8145 | 18.24 | |
| -0.0381 | -0.44 | |
| 0.0143 | 0.11 | |
| 0.0658 | 0.96 | |
| -0.0754 | -1.58 | |
| 0.0009 | 0.02 | |
| 0.1320 | 3.10 | |
| -0.1975 | -5.39 | |
| 0.1362 | 5.09 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Apr 2, 2026
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