ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
31.07%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
31.84%
increased by 0.21%
1 Month
33.65%
increased by 2.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6274 | 4.56 | |
| 0.0992 | 4.73 | |
| 0.8199 | 19.62 | |
| -0.0384 | -0.45 | |
| 0.0161 | 0.13 | |
| 0.0639 | 0.93 | |
| -0.0773 | -1.64 | |
| 0.0093 | 0.19 | |
| 0.1206 | 2.79 | |
| -0.1906 | -5.16 | |
| 0.1349 | 5.05 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026
Apr 26, 1995 to Jul 2, 2026
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