ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 2nd, 2026:28.02% (+0.08%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6198 | 4.63 | |
| 0.1009 | 4.34 | |
| 0.8060 | 16.59 | |
| -0.0388 | -0.45 | |
| 0.0135 | 0.11 | |
| 0.0685 | 1.02 | |
| -0.0751 | -1.60 | |
| -0.0060 | -0.13 | |
| 0.1429 | 3.51 | |
| -0.2064 | -5.80 | |
| 0.1407 | 5.38 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Dec 31, 2025
Apr 26, 1995 to Dec 31, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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