ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, December 26th, 2025:30.05% (-1.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6240 | 4.65 | |
| 0.1012 | 4.33 | |
| 0.8054 | 16.52 | |
| -0.0372 | -0.43 | |
| 0.0113 | 0.09 | |
| 0.0694 | 1.04 | |
| -0.0750 | -1.60 | |
| -0.0069 | -0.15 | |
| 0.1437 | 3.54 | |
| -0.2056 | -5.76 | |
| 0.1387 | 5.30 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 1995 to Dec 24, 2025
Apr 26, 1995 to Dec 24, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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