ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 17th, 2026
1 Day
37.95%
decreased by 4.36%
1 Week
38.67%
decreased by 3.64%
1 Month
39.92%
decreased by 2.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 17, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1392 | 4.92 | |
| 0.1864 | 4.81 | |
| 0.6774 | 15.00 | |
| 0.1816 | 1.48 | |
| -0.1036 | -0.53 | |
| -0.3107 | -1.56 | |
| 0.5625 | 2.83 | |
| -0.5075 | -2.78 | |
| 0.3005 | 1.68 | |
| -0.4152 | -2.43 | |
| 0.7601 | 3.34 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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