ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 23rd, 2026:42.10% (-1.49%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1197 | 5.07 | |
| 0.1887 | 4.62 | |
| 0.6539 | 13.49 | |
| 0.1781 | 1.45 | |
| -0.0904 | -0.46 | |
| -0.3283 | -1.61 | |
| 0.5604 | 2.79 | |
| -0.4660 | -2.52 | |
| 0.2300 | 1.29 | |
| -0.2974 | -1.81 | |
| 0.3703 | 1.85 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 31, 2025
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 31, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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