TLT Percentage Price Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, March 16th, 2026:104.75% (-9.71%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0974 | 8.59 | |
| 0.1526 | 4.63 | |
| 0.7540 | 13.94 | |
| -0.0090 | -1.06 | |
| 0.0307 | 2.12 | |
| -0.0572 | -2.95 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2004 to Mar 13, 2026
Jan 2, 2004 to Mar 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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