SMI Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:73.20% (+4.78%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8743 | 14.75 | |
| 0.1395 | 7.65 | |
| 0.7186 | 21.72 | |
| 0.0048 | 3.02 | |
| -0.0125 | -4.04 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1999 to Dec 30, 2025
Jan 4, 1999 to Dec 30, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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