SMI Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 4th, 2026
1 Day
61.50%
decreased by 2.56%
1 Week
65.94%
increased by 1.88%
1 Month
72.81%
increased by 8.75%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 03:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8675 | 14.80 | |
| 0.1468 | 7.53 | |
| 0.7031 | 19.98 | |
| 0.0044 | 2.83 | |
| -0.0115 | -3.79 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1999 to Apr 30, 2026
Jan 4, 1999 to Apr 30, 2026
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