V-Lab: SMI Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

V-Lab

SMI Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, August 29th, 2025:66.29% (-0.41%)

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	21
$α$	0.1889	45.16
$β$	0.7744	111.67
$γ$	-0.1859	-38.40
$λ_{1}$	0.0397	1.81
$λ_{2}$	0.0059	3.50
$λ_{3}$	0.9927	450.00

Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1999 to Jul 31, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts