SMI Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 5th, 2026:81.98% (-5.76%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8314 | 10.58 | |
| 0.1369 | 7.68 | |
| 0.7321 | 22.89 | |
| -0.0013 | -0.17 | |
| 0.0094 | 0.77 | |
| -0.0197 | -2.49 | |
| 0.0157 | 2.98 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1999 to Dec 30, 2025
Jan 4, 1999 to Dec 30, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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