CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:201.57% (+44.79%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1662 | 9.24 | |
| 0.1994 | 7.33 | |
| 0.6452 | 14.82 | |
| -0.0465 | -4.97 | |
| 0.0831 | 5.51 | |
| -0.0579 | -3.40 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2006 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2006 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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