CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
159.95%
decreased by 5.63%
1 Week
173.23%
increased by 7.65%
1 Month
191.43%
increased by 25.85%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8532 | 4.33 | |
| 0.2000 | 7.72 | |
| 0.6262 | 13.94 | |
| -0.3299 | -2.27 | |
| 0.4474 | 2.28 | |
| -0.3483 | -2.84 | |
| 0.4857 | 4.18 | |
| -0.3774 | -3.11 | |
| 0.2270 | 1.66 | |
| -0.1805 | -1.39 | |
| 0.1148 | 1.04 | |
| -0.0548 | -0.69 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2006 to Jul 2, 2026
Jan 3, 2006 to Jul 2, 2026
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