CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:213.79% (+41.47%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1904 | 9.41 | |
| 0.1990 | 7.41 | |
| 0.6472 | 15.24 | |
| -0.0422 | -4.71 | |
| 0.0732 | 5.39 | |
| -0.0384 | -5.09 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2006 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2006 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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