Skip to main content
V-Lab

CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

186.98%

increased by 1.06%

1 Week

190.49%

increased by 4.57%

1 Month

202.58%

increased by 16.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
14.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0972
12.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8796
225.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0128
0.76

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days