V-Lab
CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
186.98%
increased by 1.06%
1 Week
190.49%
increased by 4.57%
1 Month
202.58%
increased by 16.66%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 14.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0972 | 12.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8796 | 225.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0128 | 0.76 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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