CBOE S&P 500 Left Tail Volatility Index APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:268.06% (+47.07%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0000 | 5.44 | |
| 0.1746 | 29.60 | |
| 0.8252 | 136.71 | |
| 0.0001 | 0.00 | |
| 1.1275 | 19.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2006 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2006 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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