CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
41.06%
increased by 0.06%
1 Week
44.97%
increased by 3.97%
1 Month
50.94%
increased by 9.94%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6961 | 4.44 | |
| 0.2033 | 6.62 | |
| 0.6495 | 14.61 | |
| -0.5881 | -4.00 | |
| 0.8718 | 3.63 | |
| -0.4297 | -2.16 | |
| 0.2404 | 1.18 | |
| -0.1559 | -0.71 | |
| 0.0806 | 0.35 | |
| 0.0960 | 0.41 | |
| -0.4393 | -1.83 | |
| 0.7676 | 3.07 | |
| -1.0245 | -2.56 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 17, 2006 to May 15, 2026
Jul 17, 2006 to May 15, 2026
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