CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 1st, 2026
1 Day
61.00%
increased by 10.61%
1 Week
61.57%
increased by 11.18%
1 Month
62.53%
increased by 12.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6962 | 4.46 | |
| 0.2031 | 6.57 | |
| 0.6488 | 14.49 | |
| -0.5863 | -3.98 | |
| 0.8683 | 3.60 | |
| -0.4268 | -2.13 | |
| 0.2390 | 1.16 | |
| -0.1560 | -0.70 | |
| 0.0807 | 0.35 | |
| 0.0967 | 0.41 | |
| -0.4354 | -1.80 | |
| 0.7418 | 2.88 | |
| -0.9150 | -2.12 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 17, 2006 to Apr 24, 2026
Jul 17, 2006 to Apr 24, 2026
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