CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, May 13th, 2026
1 Day
171.06%
decreased by 11.88%
1 Week
174.63%
decreased by 8.31%
1 Month
177.42%
decreased by 5.52%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0183 | 6.99 | |
| 0.1196 | 3.65 | |
| 0.5492 | 5.93 | |
| 0.1418 | 1.15 | |
| -0.1636 | -0.89 | |
| 0.0562 | 0.39 | |
| -0.1360 | -0.84 | |
| 0.2386 | 1.39 | |
| -0.4112 | -2.58 | |
| 0.6826 | 4.01 | |
| -0.8479 | -2.67 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2011 to May 8, 2026
Jan 3, 2011 to May 8, 2026
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