CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:193.46% (+15.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9860 | 6.61 | |
| 0.1188 | 3.58 | |
| 0.5320 | 5.49 | |
| 0.0703 | 0.38 | |
| 0.0007 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1423 | -0.57 | |
| 0.1288 | 0.54 | |
| -0.1805 | -0.83 | |
| 0.3029 | 1.45 | |
| -0.5533 | -2.64 | |
| 0.9488 | 3.75 | |
| -1.1866 | -2.27 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2011 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2011 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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