Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 1st, 2026
1 Day
197.47%
increased by 8.16%
1 Week
218.05%
increased by 28.74%
1 Month
242.42%
increased by 53.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2672 | 5.01 | |
| 0.1794 | 7.16 | |
| 0.6171 | 15.30 | |
| 0.1423 | 3.25 | |
| -0.1627 | -2.73 | |
| 0.0228 | 0.64 | |
| 0.0232 | 0.67 | |
| -0.0489 | -1.24 | |
| 0.0174 | 0.38 | |
| 0.0324 | 0.79 | |
| -0.0766 | -2.17 | |
| 0.2136 | 4.49 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to May 29, 2026
Jan 3, 1990 to May 29, 2026
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