Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:172.03% (-3.28%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4498 | 4.94 | |
| 0.1776 | 7.06 | |
| 0.6195 | 15.13 | |
| 0.1841 | 3.33 | |
| -0.2080 | -2.72 | |
| 0.0274 | 0.57 | |
| 0.0088 | 0.22 | |
| 0.0017 | 0.04 | |
| -0.0508 | -1.08 | |
| 0.0534 | 0.83 | |
| -0.0017 | -0.03 | |
| -0.0693 | -1.35 | |
| 0.2339 | 4.19 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to Dec 26, 2025
Jan 3, 1990 to Dec 26, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices