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V-Lab

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

116.46%

decreased by 6.25%

1 Week

121.16%

decreased by 1.55%

1 Month

134.15%

increased by 11.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:37 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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2Y ·

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graph of CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 14% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.75 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3525
8.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2325
30.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7509
85.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0851
-4.04***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7466
16.17***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

11 days