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CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

139.00%

increased by 48.60%

1 Week

131.01%

increased by 40.61%

1 Month

114.15%

increased by 23.75%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2001 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

μ

MEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.6796
3.95***
αARCH0.2831
7.47***
βGARCH0.5928
21.30***

0.876

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.6796
3.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2831
7.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5928
21.30***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days