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V-Lab

CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

28.25%

increased by 0.14%

1 Week

35.09%

increased by 6.98%

1 Month

48.07%

increased by 19.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1707
8.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3858
25.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5377
49.56***

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days