V-Lab
CBOE VIX Tail Hedge Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.20%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
12.39%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
13.05%
increased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0013 | 0.60 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2289 | 22.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9730 | 753.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0865 | -10.84*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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