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V-Lab

CBOE VIX Tail Hedge Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

11.64%

increased by 1.38%

1 Week

11.83%

increased by 1.57%

1 Month

12.51%

increased by 2.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE VIX Tail Hedge Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 232% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0179
19.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0549
7.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8657
189.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1271
11.35***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days