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V-Lab

CBOE S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

50.53%

decreased by 2.51%

1 Week

53.30%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

60.48%

increased by 7.44%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of CBOE S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 178% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2622
16.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2120
21.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9114
189.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0998
11.77***

Persistence:

0.911

Half-life:

7 days