V-Lab
CBOE S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
50.53%
decreased by 2.51%
1 Week
53.30%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
60.48%
increased by 7.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 178% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2622 | 16.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2120 | 21.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9114 | 189.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0998 | 11.77*** |
Persistence:
0.911
Half-life:
7 days
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