V-Lab
CBOE S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
49.93%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
53.81%
increased by 3.18%
1 Month
61.16%
increased by 10.53%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 371% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9441 | 17.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1857 | 14.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7806 | 104.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1463 | -8.48*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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