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V-Lab

CBOE S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

49.93%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

53.81%

increased by 3.18%

1 Month

61.16%

increased by 10.53%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 371% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9441
17.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1857
14.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7806
104.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1463
-8.48***

Persistence:

0.893

Half-life:

6 days