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V-Lab

CBOE S&P 500 Spot Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

257.32%

decreased by 17.94%

1 Week

253.02%

decreased by 22.24%

1 Month

240.86%

decreased by 34.40%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE S&P 500 Spot Volatility Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2445
8.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1356
12.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9529
238.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1607
14.61***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days