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V-Lab

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

93.91%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

97.36%

increased by 2.65%

1 Month

104.42%

increased by 9.71%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 01:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
16.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0963
20.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8022
82.99***

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days