CBOE S&P 500 One-Year Volatility Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
23.97%
decreased by 2.56%
1 Week
26.49%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
32.50%
increased by 5.97%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9784 | 8.64 | |
| 0.1690 | 25.51 | |
| 0.9432 | 142.52 | |
| 4.8891 | 9.81 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2007 to Jul 2, 2026
Jan 3, 2007 to Jul 2, 2026
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