Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Apple Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

74.75%

decreased by 1.20%

1 Week

79.63%

increased by 3.68%

1 Month

86.32%

increased by 10.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Apple Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.2087
5.52***
βGARCH0.7239
13.90***
γleverage-0.2087
-5.44***
λ₁tau intercept0.6336
0.63
λ₂forecast adj.0.0151
0.98
λ₃tau persistence0.9708
26.86***

0.828

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2087
5.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7239
13.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2087
-5.44***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6336
0.63
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0151
0.98
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9708
26.86***

Persistence:

0.828

Half-life:

4 days