Skip to main content
V-Lab

S&P/BMV IPC VIX AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

57.72%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

72.31%

increased by 13.81%

1 Month

81.19%

increased by 22.69%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/BMV IPC VIX AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2015 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.1511
16.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4149
11.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2238
8.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1511
0.56

Persistence:

0.639

Half-life:

2 days