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V-Lab

CBOE VIX Indicative Bid Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

102.66%

increased by 0.08%

1 Week

106.50%

increased by 3.92%

1 Month

115.42%

increased by 12.84%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 01:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE VIX Indicative Bid Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
18.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1058
22.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8159
122.39***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

8 days