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V-Lab

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

95.72%

decreased by 2.66%

1 Week

97.88%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Month

102.14%

increased by 3.76%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
17.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0853
20.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8027
86.05***

Persistence:

0.888

Half-life:

6 days