V-Lab
CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
95.72%
decreased by 2.66%
1 Week
97.88%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Month
102.14%
increased by 3.76%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 17.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0853 | 20.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8027 | 86.05*** |
Persistence:
0.888
Half-life:
6 days
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