V-Lab
CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
90.58%
decreased by 3.46%
1 Week
92.66%
decreased by 1.38%
1 Month
98.20%
increased by 4.16%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 11:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2798 | 12.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1176 | 13.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9266 | 187.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1170 | 15.92*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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