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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

14.67%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

14.72%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Month

14.77%

decreased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7726
32.82***
γleverage0.2238
8.25***
λ₁tau intercept0.0219
1.79*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0993
2.72***
λ₃tau persistence0.8830
19.74***

0.884

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7726
32.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2238
8.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0219
1.79*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0993
2.72***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8830
19.74***

Persistence:

0.884

Half-life:

6 days