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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

13.59%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

14.26%

increased by 0.17%

1 Month

15.44%

increased by 1.35%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7730
102.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2240
32.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0208
2.52**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0963
3.23***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8872
24.25***

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days