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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

15.34%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

15.92%

increased by 0.32%

1 Month

16.83%

increased by 1.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7728
102.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2249
32.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0203
2.54**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0951
3.29***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8889
25.07***

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days