V-Lab
Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
13.59%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
14.26%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
15.44%
increased by 1.35%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7730 | 102.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2240 | 32.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0208 | 2.52** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0963 | 3.23*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8872 | 24.25*** |
Persistence:
0.885
Half-life:
6 days
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