Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
19.18%
increased by 3.48%
1 Week
18.99%
increased by 3.29%
1 Month
18.41%
increased by 2.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2013 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 119% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 119% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0427 | 5.33*** |
| αARCH | 0.1148 | 4.48*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7777 | 40.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.1364 | 3.02*** |
0.961
Persistence17d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0427 | 5.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1148 | 4.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7777 | 40.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1364 | 3.02*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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