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Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

19.18%

increased by 3.48%

1 Week

18.99%

increased by 3.29%

1 Month

18.41%

increased by 2.71%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 119% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 119% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0427
5.33***
αARCH0.1148
4.48***
βGARCH0.7777
40.82***
γleverage0.1364
3.02***

0.961

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0427
5.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1148
4.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7777
40.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1364
3.02***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days