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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

15.75%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

15.82%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

16.02%

decreased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0434
21.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1155
17.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7750
159.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1396
12.20***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days