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Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

21.24%

increased by 1.90%

1 Week

21.12%

increased by 1.78%

1 Month

20.72%

increased by 1.38%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0441
1.87*
αARCH0.2233
7.41***
βGARCH0.7463
34.50***

0.970

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0441
1.87*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2233
7.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7463
34.50***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

22 days