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Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

19.33%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

19.18%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Month

18.72%

decreased by 1.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse SDAX Performance Index (XETRA) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2013 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0500
4.76***
αARCH0.0305
1.66*
βGARCH0.8478
50.47***
γleverage0.1600
3.35***

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0500
4.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0305
1.66*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8478
50.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1600
3.35***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days