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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

30.32%

decreased by 1.64%

1 Week

31.78%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

36.20%

increased by 4.24%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.1294
4.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0778
18.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9715
136.12***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5917
8.62***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days