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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

33.12%

increased by 3.32%

1 Week

34.22%

increased by 4.42%

1 Month

37.67%

increased by 7.87%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2737
19.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0835
28.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8885
242.36***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days