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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

33.06%

increased by 0.96%

1 Week

34.25%

increased by 2.15%

1 Month

37.87%

increased by 5.77%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2955
8.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1264
24.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8430
218.91***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days