V-Lab
Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
33.06%
increased by 0.96%
1 Week
34.25%
increased by 2.15%
1 Month
37.87%
increased by 5.77%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2955 | 8.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1264 | 24.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8430 | 218.91*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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