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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

33.02%

increased by 1.20%

1 Week

34.23%

increased by 2.41%

1 Month

37.90%

increased by 6.08%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 16% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3042
22.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1363
27.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8412
219.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0187
-2.36**

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days