V-Lab
Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
33.02%
increased by 1.20%
1 Week
34.23%
increased by 2.41%
1 Month
37.90%
increased by 6.08%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 16% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3042 | 22.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1363 | 27.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8412 | 219.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0187 | -2.36** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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