Skip to main content
V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

31.36%

increased by 0.79%

1 Week

31.43%

increased by 0.86%

1 Month

31.64%

increased by 1.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. The volatility power δ = 0.70 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1014
13.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1516
42.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8167
176.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0513
-4.67***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6991
11.76***

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days