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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

32.18%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Week

33.35%

increased by 0.38%

1 Month

36.97%

increased by 4.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2737
20.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0875
17.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8887
245.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0095
-1.08

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days