V-Lab
Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
30.03%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
31.42%
increased by 0.89%
1 Month
35.66%
increased by 5.13%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 22, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2790 | 20.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0882 | 17.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8876 | 242.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0097 | -1.10 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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