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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

30.03%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

31.42%

increased by 0.89%

1 Month

35.66%

increased by 5.13%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2790
20.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0882
17.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8876
242.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0097
-1.10

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days