V-Lab
Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
32.18%
decreased by 0.79%
1 Week
33.35%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
36.97%
increased by 4.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 22, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2737 | 20.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0875 | 17.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8887 | 245.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0095 | -1.08 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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