V-Lab
Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
29.58%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Week
31.06%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
36.36%
increased by 5.10%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 24% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0992 | 22.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1954 | 32.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9602 | 475.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0210 | 3.73*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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