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V-Lab

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

29.58%

decreased by 1.68%

1 Week

31.06%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

36.36%

increased by 5.10%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 24% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0992
22.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1954
32.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9602
475.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0210
3.73***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days