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V-Lab
V-Lab

Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

11.17%

increased by 0.18%

1 Week

11.97%

increased by 0.98%

1 Month

13.64%

increased by 2.65%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0304
2.89***
βGARCH0.8135
53.52***
γleverage0.1488
8.40***
λ₁tau intercept0.0022
0.77
λ₂forecast adj.0.0131
2.50**
λ₃tau persistence0.9853
131.44***

0.918

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0304
2.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8135
53.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1488
8.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0022
0.77
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0131
2.50**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9853
131.44***

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days