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V-Lab

Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

15.12%

increased by 2.05%

1 Week

15.33%

increased by 2.26%

1 Month

15.81%

increased by 2.74%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to May 15, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0299
8.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8121
174.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1506
31.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0023
1.97**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0135
4.24***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9848
233.75***

Persistence:

0.917

Half-life:

8 days