Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
14.13%
increased by 0.65%
1 Week
14.52%
increased by 1.04%
1 Month
15.74%
increased by 2.26%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2001 to Oct 22, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0451 | 2.81*** |
| αARCH | 0.2198 | 11.32*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7519 | 50.62*** |
0.972
Persistence24d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0451 | 2.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2198 | 11.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7519 | 50.62*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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