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V-Lab

Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

12.44%

increased by 0.07%

1 Week

12.96%

increased by 0.59%

1 Month

14.57%

increased by 2.20%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0449
5.33***
αARCH0.1182
10.27***
βGARCH0.8529
62.65***

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0449
5.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1182
10.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8529
62.65***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days