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V-Lab

Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

12.66%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Week

13.12%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

14.52%

increased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 2001 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 119% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 119% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0443
8.30***
αARCH0.1169
6.25***
βGARCH0.7822
58.20***
γleverage0.1387
4.52***

0.968

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0443
8.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1169
6.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7822
58.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1387
4.52***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days