Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
13.08%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
13.51%
increased by 0.50%
1 Month
14.85%
increased by 1.84%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 05:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2001 to May 15, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0452 | 33.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1163 | 24.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7815 | 230.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1412 | 18.21*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
22 days
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