Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
12.66%
decreased by 0.65%
1 Week
13.12%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Month
14.52%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2001 to Oct 8, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 119% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 119% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0443 | 8.30*** |
| αARCH | 0.1169 | 6.25*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7822 | 58.20*** |
| γleverage | 0.1387 | 4.52*** |
0.968
Persistence22d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0443 | 8.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1169 | 6.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7822 | 58.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1387 | 4.52*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
22 days
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