V-Lab
Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
11.77%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
12.33%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
14.01%
increased by 2.05%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2001 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 120% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 120% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0454 | 8.30*** |
| αARCH | 0.1169 | 6.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7809 | 57.67*** |
| γleverage | 0.1403 | 4.53*** |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0454 | 8.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1169 | 6.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7809 | 57.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1403 | 4.53*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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